Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.052709 1.268370 1.496610 1.754327 2.035504 2.331388 2.664737
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.745231 1.036665 1.368010 1.764709 2.219585 2.718608 3.301498
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.545350 0.858335 1.235544 1.707285 2.267198 2.898425 3.652530
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.396254 0.714264 1.121534 1.652750 2.303369 3.054469 3.968930
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.294974 0.610787 1.039729 1.620730 2.351612 3.211932 4.275263
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.237102 0.556895 1.013821 1.651847 2.471198 3.449785 4.672685
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.185221 0.501086 0.977390 1.663011 2.561131 3.648514 5.021207
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.133458 0.432977 0.914958 1.632916 2.593801 3.773998 5.279547
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.118478 0.427492 0.942936 1.724587 2.782132 4.090323 5.767713
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.107087 0.426388 0.976288 1.823064 2.979213 4.417842 6.270265
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.099525 0.431480 1.018604 1.933944 3.192785 4.766475 6.799475
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.090759 0.431934 1.052608 2.032619 3.390308 5.095478 7.305559
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.070235 0.402685 1.040560 2.071154 3.517575 5.349035 7.736335
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.049039 0.363208 1.007815 2.078017 3.602605 5.550875 8.106623
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026670 0.304354 0.933242 2.016586 3.590274 5.625092 8.315869
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.011930 0.252410 0.862961 1.956039 3.575150 5.692923 8.515118
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.004382 0.214278 0.812258 1.920998 3.591504 5.798059 8.757762
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001841 0.198924 0.805615 1.955177 3.704976 6.029712 9.159824
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000312 0.179193 0.786614 1.967486 3.786246 6.218606 9.507736
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.150403 0.742109 1.934359 3.800065 6.317178 9.740208
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.154680 0.776295 2.035169 4.009475 6.676305 10.305730
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.160528 0.814507 2.143225 4.229992 7.050885 10.891859
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.169311 0.860249 2.264625 4.470601 7.452923 11.513949